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Red49
999812.2
90509.2
640412.0
Blue51
1001916.7
916616.5
921910.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions286102040801001201401604951

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+2
0Endgame0
Fouls+2
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +2
6Coral scored#9
22Coral points32
0Processor algae#0
4Net algae#2
0Processor points0
16Net points8
16Algae points8
38Total teleop40
Reef
3L4#4
2L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#11
BargeRed +2
2Cage & park0
2Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points2
49Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9998
#15
12.20.3
10.210.6
Auto2.8
Teleop7.8
End1.6
blue by 4.4
16.70.9
19.819.0
Auto3.3
Teleop11.1
End2.3
Second
6404
#20
12.00.2
13.013.2
Auto3.0
Teleop8.7
End0.3
blue by 4.5
16.50.9
17.116.2
Auto3.8
Teleop11.8
End0.8
Third
9050
#21
9.20.2
13.713.9
Auto1.9
Teleop6.9
End0.5
blue by 1.3
9219
#16
10.50.9
14.313.4
Auto1.5
Teleop9.0
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
5%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed