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Red47
580019.1
921910.5
186029.7
Blue23
999614.0
90509.2
999510.9
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91360501001502004723

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+22Teleop
+26Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +25
6Coral scored#2
23Coral points8
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
37Total teleop12
Reef
2L4#1
2L3#0
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
9Game pieces#3
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
0Foul points2
47Total score23

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.72.1
35.433.3
Auto3.5
Teleop22.5
End3.7
red by 15.7
14.01.5
6.75.2
Auto4.0
Teleop8.6
End1.3
Second
19.12.1
23.020.9
Auto4.9
Teleop12.9
End1.2
red by 8.2
9995
#12
10.91.5
6.75.2
Auto3.8
Teleop6.1
End1.0
Third
9219
#16
10.52.1
20.618.4
Auto1.5
Teleop9.0
End0.1
red by 1.3
9050
#21
9.21.3
20.919.6
Auto1.9
Teleop6.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsMissed17%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed