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Red63
1019020.6
703328.2
930510.1
Blue56
961112.3
999812.2
999614.0
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions783202040601001201401606356

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+13Teleop
+15Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave0
4Coral scored#2
19Coral points12
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +6
8Coral scored#6
30Coral points22
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
38Total teleop32
Reef
6L4#4
3L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#10
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points8
63Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.20.0
28.928.9
Auto7.2
Teleop17.0
End4.0
red by 14.2
14.00.2
13.814.0
Auto4.0
Teleop8.6
End1.3
Second
20.60.0
21.321.2
Auto4.4
Teleop13.7
End2.5
red by 8.3
9611
#11
12.30.2
12.112.3
Auto3.6
Teleop6.1
End2.6
Third
9305
#13
10.10.0
10.810.8
Auto3.9
Teleop4.2
End2.1
blue by 2.1
9998
#15
12.20.2
12.112.2
Auto2.8
Teleop7.8
End1.6