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Red93
940520.4
648924.7
597117.7
Blue163
408744.5
433636.2
191252.0
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52143010020025093163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+92
Endgame+94
Fouls+70
AutonomousBlue +20
3Leave3
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points26
9Total auto29
TeleoperatedBlue +72
9Coral scored#17
32Coral points62
1Processor algae#4
2Net algae#8
6Processor points24
8Net points32
14Algae points56
46Total teleop118
Reef
4L4#8
3L3#3
2L2#6
1L1 · trough#5
13Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +70
24Foul points0
93Total score163

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.70.4
25.925.5
Auto5.1
Teleop13.8
End5.9
blue by 27.2
52.01.9
46.047.9
Auto12.5
Teleop36.7
End2.8
Second
9405
#21
20.40.4
17.116.8
Auto3.5
Teleop11.5
End5.5
blue by 24.1
44.51.9
40.942.8
Auto7.5
Teleop29.3
End7.7
Third
5971
#19
17.70.4
16.716.3
Auto2.0
Teleop13.7
End2.1
blue by 18.5
36.21.9
35.237.1
Auto5.6
Teleop29.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned51%Barge oddsEarned