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Red169
804491.2
36424.7
361643.7
Blue57
999442.8
303914.9
222116.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17847010015020025030016957

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+112Teleop
+112Endgame
+112Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
9Leave6
6Coral scored#3
29Coral points14
38Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +94
26Coral scored#8
95Coral points29
2Processor algae#0
5Net algae#1
12Processor points0
20Net points4
32Algae points4
127Total teleop33
Reef
10L4#6
8L3#3
9L2#1
5L1 · trough#1
39Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +112
0Foul points0
169Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.21.3
86.888.1
Auto19.4
Teleop61.8
End10.0
red by 48.4
42.80.9
34.934.0
Auto9.4
Teleop31.0
End2.2
Second
43.71.3
41.442.8
Auto9.0
Teleop32.6
End2.2
red by 27.7
2221
#26
16.00.5
13.513.0
Auto3.8
Teleop10.1
End2.2
Third
364
#13
24.71.3
20.922.2
Auto6.1
Teleop14.0
End4.6
red by 9.8
3039
#25
14.90.5
16.415.9
Auto4.5
Teleop8.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
70%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed