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Red118
36424.7
218328.3
999442.8
Blue46
99826.2
999316.0
597117.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions893005010015020011846

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+52Teleop
+72Endgame
+72Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave6
3Coral scored#0
17Coral points0
20Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +38
16Coral scored#6
56Coral points20
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
66Total teleop28
Reef
8L4#2
4L3#2
3L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#8
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +72
6Foul points6
118Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.83.0
34.037.0
Auto9.4
Teleop31.0
End2.2
red by 25.1
5971
#19
17.70.2
16.316.5
Auto2.0
Teleop13.7
End2.1
Second
2183
#15
28.31.8
28.530.3
Auto4.7
Teleop18.8
End4.9
red by 12.3
9993
#17
16.00.3
14.715.0
Auto0.7
Teleop12.6
End2.4
Third
364
#13
24.71.8
22.224.0
Auto6.1
Teleop14.0
End4.6
red by 18.4
9982
#23
6.20.3
5.96.2
Auto1.5
Teleop2.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsMissed7%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsMissed