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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1128205010015020014384

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+61Teleop
+65Endgame
+59Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
6Leave6
6Coral scored#3
31Coral points16
37Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +46
15Coral scored#10
54Coral points36
5Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
30Processor points6
16Net points12
46Algae points18
100Total teleop54
Reef
8L4#5
6L3#3
3L2#2
4L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#17
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +59
0Foul points6
143Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4451
#11
55.40.9
52.753.6
Auto11.5
Teleop42.4
End1.5
red by 29.1
5130
#17
26.30.0
25.925.9
Auto5.1
Teleop20.5
End0.7
Second
38.90.9
36.237.1
Auto11.1
Teleop25.9
End1.8
red by 12.9
1758
#13
25.90.0
25.525.5
Auto4.4
Teleop20.7
End0.8
Third
7085
#15
13.50.9
10.811.7
Auto4.3
Teleop6.7
End2.5
blue by 12.4
25.90.0
25.525.4
Auto7.8
Teleop12.9
End5.2