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Red156
1023118.5
34359.4
445170.3
Blue102
857543.4
34248.0
813717.9
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions167115100150200250156102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+56Teleop
+54Endgame
+54Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
9Leave3
4Coral scored#4
21Coral points18
30Total auto21
TeleoperatedRed +47
24Coral scored#16
86Coral points57
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#3
12Processor points6
24Net points12
36Algae points18
122Total teleop75
Reef
11L4#10
9L3#3
6L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
36Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +54
0Foul points0
156Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.30.2
70.170.3
Auto15.5
Teleop53.0
End1.8
red by 22.3
342
#7
48.00.2
48.248.0
Auto4.3
Teleop40.5
End3.1
Second
343
#3
59.40.2
59.259.4
Auto12.5
Teleop38.8
End8.1
red by 16.0
8575
#13
43.40.2
43.643.4
Auto8.6
Teleop32.6
End2.1
Third
18.50.2
18.318.5
Auto4.6
Teleop12.6
End1.2
red by 0.6
8137
#26
17.90.2
18.017.9
Auto3.9
Teleop10.3
End3.7