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Red97
1059114.4
486432.7
128752.5
Blue101
281549.4
513034.9
931511.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1051069510011011512097101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+6Teleop
Endgame+4
Fouls+4
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave9
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points10
23Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +2
11Coral scored#13
40Coral points48
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
68Total teleop66
Reef
5L4#6
4L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points0
97Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1287
#19
52.50.1
52.052.0
Auto11.4
Teleop38.9
End2.1
red by 3.1
49.40.5
46.747.2
Auto12.4
Teleop28.9
End8.1
Second
4864
#12
32.70.1
29.829.8
Auto8.8
Teleop17.8
End6.1
blue by 2.3
5130
#15
34.90.5
35.035.5
Auto4.6
Teleop28.9
End1.4
Third
14.40.1
14.114.2
Auto4.7
Teleop9.2
End0.6
red by 2.6
9315
#28
11.80.5
11.712.2
Auto3.7
Teleop6.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsEarned