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Red102
813717.9
957125.5
349051.3
Blue97
708514.7
34248.0
636633.8
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9710205015020010297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+7Teleop
+5Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave6
4Coral scored#1
19Coral points3
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +3
13Coral scored#14
45Coral points50
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
12Processor points6
12Net points16
24Algae points22
69Total teleop72
Reef
6L4#6
6L3#5
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points0
102Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.30.7
49.550.2
Auto7.3
Teleop35.9
End8.2
red by 3.3
342
#7
48.00.1
47.948.0
Auto4.3
Teleop40.5
End3.1
Second
9571
#21
25.50.7
24.024.7
Auto6.4
Teleop17.8
End1.4
blue by 8.3
33.80.1
32.932.9
Auto4.9
Teleop20.6
End8.4
Third
8137
#26
17.90.7
18.619.2
Auto3.9
Teleop10.3
End3.7
red by 3.1
7085
#24
14.70.1
15.215.2
Auto3.5
Teleop8.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed25%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned68%Barge oddsEarned