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Red76
1036714.7
857543.4
813717.9
Blue129
1059916.7
486432.7
281549.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions881045015076129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
Teleop+43
Endgame+59
Fouls+53
AutonomousBlue +15
3Leave3
4Coral scored#7
18Coral points33
21Total auto36
TeleoperatedBlue +28
9Coral scored#13
33Coral points47
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
0Processor points6
8Net points16
8Algae points22
41Total teleop69
Reef
4L4#6
4L3#7
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +16
8Cage & park24
8Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +53
6Foul points0
76Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8575
#13
43.41.4
44.843.4
Auto8.6
Teleop32.6
End2.1
blue by 6.0
49.41.8
47.249.0
Auto12.4
Teleop28.9
End8.1
Second
8137
#26
17.91.4
19.217.9
Auto3.9
Teleop10.3
End3.7
blue by 14.8
4864
#12
32.71.8
29.831.6
Auto8.8
Teleop17.8
End6.1
Third
14.71.4
18.116.8
Auto7.0
Teleop6.1
End1.6
blue by 2.0
16.71.8
16.718.4
Auto5.0
Teleop9.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed64%Barge oddsEarned