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Red95
348926.0
1023118.5
28144.2
Blue140
128752.5
349051.3
453332.7
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions921555020025095140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+33
Endgame+45
Fouls+45
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
3Coral scored#4
14Coral points20
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +33
13Coral scored#20
46Coral points73
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#6
12Processor points6
12Net points24
24Algae points30
70Total teleop103
Reef
6L4#6
3L3#8
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#5
21Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +45
0Foul points0
95Total score140

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
281
#10
44.20.7
43.444.1
Auto8.2
Teleop34.2
End1.8
blue by 8.2
1287
#19
52.50.5
51.451.9
Auto11.4
Teleop38.9
End2.1
Second
3489
#18
26.00.7
25.125.8
Auto4.7
Teleop19.2
End2.0
blue by 25.3
51.30.5
50.250.6
Auto7.3
Teleop35.9
End8.2
Third
18.50.7
16.417.1
Auto4.6
Teleop12.6
End1.2
blue by 14.2
4533
#14
32.70.5
31.531.9
Auto4.8
Teleop22.2
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsEarned32%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed86%Barge oddsEarned