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Red82
34899.8
281537.6
Blue124
99965.0
28130.6
297462.7
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7113405010015020082124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+38
Endgame+34
Fouls+42
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave0
1Coral scored#6
7Coral points30
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +24
13Coral scored#19
46Coral points70
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
60Total teleop84
Reef
4L4#10
4L3#8
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#28
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
0Foul points8
82Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.60.0
40.940.9
Auto8.6
Teleop20.3
End8.8
blue by 25.1
62.70.5
63.462.9
Auto18.2
Teleop42.5
End2.0
Second
3489
#26
9.80.0
12.512.5
Auto2.6
Teleop7.5
End-0.3
blue by 20.8
281
#9
30.60.5
39.539.0
Auto5.9
Teleop23.3
End1.4
Third
9.60.0
13.713.7
Auto2.9
Teleop5.2
End1.6
red by 4.6
9996
#10
5.00.8
3.72.9
Auto1.3
Teleop2.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
23%Coral oddsMissed29%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed