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Red120
272440.0
445155.5
949669.1
Blue110
636625.2
122512.5
297462.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions211109050150250300350120110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+28Teleop
+18Endgame
+10Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
5Coral scored#5
24Coral points24
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +28
13Coral scored#11
48Coral points40
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
18Processor points6
20Net points12
38Algae points18
86Total teleop58
Reef
6L4#6
4L3#5
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points8
120Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.14.4
71.166.7
Auto17.5
Teleop46.3
End5.3
red by 6.4
62.70.5
62.962.4
Auto18.2
Teleop42.5
End2.0
Second
55.54.4
60.756.4
Auto12.8
Teleop40.4
End2.4
red by 30.3
6366
#11
25.20.5
27.026.5
Auto4.4
Teleop13.4
End7.5
Third
40.04.4
45.741.3
Auto7.0
Teleop25.1
End7.9
red by 27.6
1225
#17
12.50.5
14.113.6
Auto3.8
Teleop7.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
56%Coral oddsMissed20%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsMissed50%Barge oddsEarned