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Red38
453329.6
99965.0
Blue55
122512.5
272440.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions547601001503855

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+21
Endgame+13
Fouls+17
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +24
2Coral scored#7
6Coral points24
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
10Total teleop34
Reef
1L4#4
1L3#2
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#11
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
2Foul points6
38Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4533
#16
29.60.9
29.428.5
Auto5.2
Teleop18.4
End6.2
blue by 10.4
40.01.1
41.340.2
Auto7.0
Teleop25.1
End7.9
Second
9.60.9
10.59.6
Auto2.9
Teleop5.2
End1.6
blue by 2.9
1225
#17
12.51.1
13.612.5
Auto3.8
Teleop7.6
End1.1
Third
9996
#10
5.01.5
6.55.0
Auto1.3
Teleop2.1
End1.3
blue by 2.3
7.31.1
8.57.3
Auto4.8
Teleop2.6
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsEarned48%Barge oddsMissed