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Red103
636625.2
445155.5
350622.9
Blue93
34331.3
857536.5
349050.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10413405015020025010393

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+26Teleop
+14Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave3
5Coral scored#1
24Coral points6
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +5
14Coral scored#12
49Coral points42
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
67Total teleop62
Reef
7L4#4
6L3#3
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +10
2Foul points6
103Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.50.0
53.653.6
Auto12.8
Teleop40.4
End2.4
red by 5.3
50.20.7
49.949.2
Auto5.7
Teleop36.0
End8.6
Second
6366
#11
25.20.0
23.323.3
Auto4.4
Teleop13.4
End7.5
blue by 11.3
36.50.7
36.135.4
Auto6.1
Teleop28.0
End2.4
Third
3506
#23
22.90.0
22.922.9
Auto4.4
Teleop12.9
End5.7
blue by 8.4
343
#13
31.30.7
32.031.3
Auto7.3
Teleop19.1
End4.9