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Red83
445150.8
696113.0
636613.3
Blue77
616723.5
348915.3
28131.5
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions786520401001208377

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+26Teleop
+14Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
13Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +19
15Coral scored#10
54Coral points35
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
68Total teleop49
Reef
5L4#3
7L3#3
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points8
83Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.81.2
36.237.4
Auto8.7
Teleop40.6
End1.5
red by 19.3
281
#5
31.50.5
22.723.1
Auto5.1
Teleop24.9
End1.6
Second
6366
#22
13.31.2
15.817.0
Auto4.0
Teleop7.1
End2.2
blue by 10.2
6167
#19
23.50.5
14.214.7
Auto3.8
Teleop14.3
End5.4
Third
6961
#18
13.01.2
12.413.6
Auto5.5
Teleop5.4
End2.1
blue by 2.3
3489
#35
15.30.5
18.819.3
Auto4.3
Teleop10.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsEarned