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Red66
28131.5
13198.3
105119.5
Blue23
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions672304060801001206623

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+47Teleop
+45Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave6
4Coral scored#1
19Coral points3
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +37
8Coral scored#2
29Coral points6
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
43Total teleop6
Reef
5L4#1
4L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
15Game pieces#3
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
0Foul points2
66Total score23

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
281
#5
31.50.6
29.930.6
Auto5.1
Teleop24.9
End1.6
red by 22.0
9.50.5
9.69.1
Auto4.1
Teleop3.2
End2.2
Second
1051
#16
19.50.6
18.318.9
Auto5.5
Teleop11.2
End2.7
red by 10.5
1293
#27
9.00.5
9.59.0
Auto2.1
Teleop5.0
End1.9
Third
1319
#29
8.30.6
7.58.1
Auto3.5
Teleop5.1
End-0.3
red by 3.1
5.20.5
5.75.2
Auto2.9
Teleop1.5
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned22%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed