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Qual 672025 FSC District Hartsville Event
Red66
513016.9
616723.5
175813.9
Blue86
496731.7
1036721.7
15392.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61593040507080906686

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+22
Endgame+20
Fouls+20
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +25
10Coral scored#15
36Coral points55
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
0Processor points6
12Net points12
12Algae points18
48Total teleop73
Reef
3L4#7
4L3#4
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#20
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points0
66Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6167
#19
23.50.3
20.6→20.9
Auto3.8
Teleop14.3
End5.4
blue by 8.1
4967
#4
31.72.0
28.4→30.4
Auto5.6
Teleop24.7
End1.3
Second
5130
#21
16.90.3
16.4→16.7
Auto4.3
Teleop10.9
End1.8
blue by 4.8
10367
#8
21.72.0
19.5→21.5
Auto5.2
Teleop13.9
End2.6
Third
1758
#11
13.90.3
12.7→13.0
Auto1.8
Teleop10.6
End1.5
red by 11.2
1539
#33
2.72.0
0.7→2.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop1.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed