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Red151
445150.8
34342.0
813712.8
Blue112
28131.5
348915.3
496731.7
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1127750100150200151112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+12Auto
+35Teleop
+45Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousRed +12
3Leave0
6Coral scored#4
28Coral points19
31Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +23
16Coral scored#11
58Coral points41
4Processor algae#3
6Net algae#6
24Processor points18
24Net points24
48Algae points42
106Total teleop83
Reef
6L4#7
8L3#5
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
32Game pieces#24
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +39
0Foul points6
151Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.81.1
48.249.3
Auto8.7
Teleop40.6
End1.5
red by 19.1
31.70.6
30.731.3
Auto5.6
Teleop24.7
End1.3
Second
343
#1
42.01.1
39.440.5
Auto10.7
Teleop26.3
End5.0
red by 10.5
281
#5
31.50.6
30.531.2
Auto5.1
Teleop24.9
End1.6
Third
8137
#15
12.81.1
10.211.3
Auto3.4
Teleop6.8
End2.6
blue by 2.5
3489
#35
15.30.6
14.314.9
Auto4.3
Teleop10.2
End0.7