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Red142
349024.9
616723.5
34223.6
Blue95
105119.5
281520.7
957117.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7867406010012014014295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+37Teleop
+47Endgame
+47Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +37
25Coral scored#17
89Coral points62
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
117Total teleop80
Reef
9L4#7
7L3#4
5L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#22
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +47
0Foul points0
142Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3490
#13
24.91.2
22.623.8
Auto4.2
Teleop14.3
End6.5
red by 4.2
2815
#17
20.70.4
20.320.7
Auto6.2
Teleop13.1
End1.5
Second
342
#10
23.61.2
21.322.6
Auto2.2
Teleop19.9
End1.6
red by 4.1
1051
#16
19.50.4
19.119.5
Auto5.5
Teleop11.2
End2.7
Third
6167
#19
23.51.2
21.222.5
Auto3.8
Teleop14.3
End5.4
red by 6.5
17.00.4
16.617.0
Auto4.3
Teleop11.3
End1.4