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Qual 182025 Sunset Showdown
Red77
724512.3
198331.7
947044.9
Blue214
58188.5
696239.6
84664.7
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7520405010015025030077214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+38
Teleop+127
Endgame+137
Fouls+137
AutonomousBlue +38
3Leave9
1Coral scored#7
3Coral points35
6Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +89
14Coral scored#26
51Coral points92
2Processor algae#6
1Net algae#7
12Processor points36
4Net points28
16Algae points64
67Total teleop156
Reef
5L4#14
3L3#9
4L2#6
3L1 · trough#4
18Game pieces#46
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +137
0Foul points0
77Total score214

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9470
#10
44.90.7
50.3→49.6
Auto12.1
Teleop29.7
End3.1
blue by 43.6
581
#2
88.52.3
76.9→79.1
Auto18.9
Teleop59.6
End10.0
Second
1983
#18
31.70.7
24.5→23.8
Auto6.6
Teleop25.4
End-0.3
blue by 33.0
846
#9
64.72.3
60.2→62.5
Auto15.3
Teleop41.9
End7.5
Third
7245
#22
12.30.7
7.2→6.4
Auto2.7
Teleop7.8
End1.7
blue by 27.3
6962
#11
39.62.3
37.9→40.2
Auto9.1
Teleop28.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsMissed96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
27%Coral oddsMissed57%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed86%Barge oddsEarned