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Red136
415938.8
198331.7
84153.3
Blue93
11534.6
666222.8
1022119.4
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1356005010015020013693

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+43Teleop
+43Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave3
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points17
23Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +40
23Coral scored#13
81Coral points45
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
12Processor points12
16Net points12
28Algae points24
109Total teleop69
Reef
11L4#5
6L3#4
4L2#4
6L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
0Foul points0
136Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
841
#6
53.31.3
54.055.3
Auto11.9
Teleop33.9
End7.5
red by 18.7
115
#25
34.61.7
32.834.5
Auto5.6
Teleop24.8
End4.1
Second
4159
#12
38.81.3
35.136.4
Auto11.0
Teleop26.1
End1.7
red by 16.0
6662
#15
22.81.7
19.821.5
Auto4.5
Teleop16.4
End1.9
Third
1983
#18
31.71.3
28.029.3
Auto6.6
Teleop25.4
End-0.3
red by 12.3
19.41.7
15.116.8
Auto2.3
Teleop15.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned31%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed