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Red74
770941.9
942738.2
758918.6
Blue9
907914.9
88059.5
699837.4
80%Model gave it20%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13890050200250749

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+63Teleop
+65Endgame
+65Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
9Leave3
3Coral scored#0
14Coral points0
23Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +43
9Coral scored#2
31Coral points6
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
6Processor points0
12Net points0
18Algae points0
49Total teleop6
Reef
4L4#1
4L3#1
2L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
16Game pieces#2
BargeRed +2
2Cage & park0
2Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +65
0Foul points0
74Total score9

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.92.8
52.349.5
Auto11.6
Teleop28.5
End1.7
red by 4.4
6998
#11
37.45.5
37.532.1
Auto6.2
Teleop27.1
End4.1
Second
38.22.8
42.139.3
Auto8.1
Teleop26.9
End3.2
red by 23.3
9079
#19
14.95.5
23.017.6
Auto3.7
Teleop7.8
End3.3
Third
18.62.8
21.018.3
Auto3.3
Teleop14.6
End0.8
red by 9.1
8805
#31
9.55.5
22.216.7
Auto0.8
Teleop7.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed72%Barge oddsMissed