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Red96
699837.4
767313.2
942738.2
Blue99
770941.9
907914.9
872536.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions929060801001209699

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
Teleop+3
+1Endgame
Fouls+3
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave9
5Coral scored#2
24Coral points10
30Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +14
8Coral scored#14
28Coral points52
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
18Processor points12
12Net points8
30Algae points20
58Total teleop72
Reef
6L4#5
2L3#6
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#20
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Penalties & totalBlue +3
2Foul points6
96Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.20.1
38.138.2
Auto8.1
Teleop26.9
End3.2
blue by 3.7
41.90.1
39.840.0
Auto11.6
Teleop28.5
End1.7
Second
6998
#11
37.40.1
37.337.4
Auto6.2
Teleop27.1
End4.1
red by 1.4
8725
#16
36.10.1
34.034.2
Auto5.3
Teleop28.6
End2.2
Third
7673
#14
13.20.1
13.013.2
Auto2.3
Teleop9.6
End1.2
blue by 1.7
9079
#19
14.90.1
12.813.0
Auto3.7
Teleop7.8
End3.3