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Red170
446753.2
384328.3
1047957.7
Blue171
261445.4
393765.1
396648.9
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14017150100200250300170171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+3
Endgame+1
Fouls+1
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave6
7Coral scored#8
34Coral points38
40Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +1
18Coral scored#16
66Coral points59
3Processor algae#4
5Net algae#5
18Processor points24
20Net points20
38Algae points44
104Total teleop103
Reef
10L4#12
7L3#4
4L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#33
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points0
170Total score171

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.70.8
55.656.5
Auto11.7
Teleop38.5
End7.5
blue by 7.4
3937
#18
65.10.3
64.464.7
Auto12.0
Teleop44.5
End8.6
Second
53.20.8
51.152.0
Auto12.5
Teleop33.7
End7.0
red by 4.3
3966
#11
48.90.3
48.248.5
Auto12.4
Teleop33.0
End3.6
Third
3843
#14
28.30.8
26.227.0
Auto5.1
Teleop17.5
End5.7
blue by 17.1
2614
#20
45.40.3
44.745.0
Auto11.4
Teleop29.6
End4.4