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Red93
382120.9
457622.5
396648.9
Blue40
574419.0
314036.8
382436.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6577020401001201401609340

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+53Teleop
+53Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave3
5Coral scored#2
24Coral points10
30Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +36
14Coral scored#4
49Coral points15
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
59Total teleop23
Reef
9L4#2
4L3#2
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#8
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +53
0Foul points0
93Total score40

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3966
#11
48.92.0
30.632.6
Auto12.4
Teleop33.0
End3.6
red by 12.1
3140
#28
36.82.1
27.725.6
Auto3.8
Teleop31.3
End1.7
Second
4576
#43
22.52.5
14.216.7
Auto5.5
Teleop15.2
End1.8
blue by 13.6
3824
#21
36.22.3
31.028.7
Auto7.7
Teleop22.0
End6.5
Third
3821
#31
20.93.4
17.921.3
Auto4.7
Teleop13.4
End2.7
red by 1.9
5744
#27
19.03.5
12.49.0
Auto3.8
Teleop11.5
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsMissed