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Red90
406550.2
1010117.0
285617.1
Blue93
23358.7
332434.1
748324.3
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions761190501001509093

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+3
Endgame+3
Fouls+3
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave9
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points14
20Total auto23
Teleoperatedlevel
11Coral scored#12
40Coral points42
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
12Processor points6
4Net points8
16Algae points14
56Total teleop56
Reef
5L4#3
5L3#6
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points0
90Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4065
#13
50.21.1
41.943.0
Auto15.1
Teleop29.1
End6.0
blue by 8.5
233
#7
58.70.5
54.153.6
Auto11.8
Teleop41.0
End5.9
Second
2856
#37
17.11.8
16.818.6
Auto3.3
Teleop13.0
End0.9
blue by 17.0
3324
#15
34.10.5
24.724.2
Auto7.1
Teleop27.4
End-0.4
Third
17.01.1
14.916.0
Auto2.6
Teleop10.9
End3.5
blue by 7.3
7483
#25
24.30.5
21.020.6
Auto5.6
Teleop16.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsMissed75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsEarned