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Red157
1047957.7
239340.7
101427.1
Blue99
504519.9
398423.0
53817.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11146010015020015799

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+38Teleop
+58Endgame
+58Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave0
6Coral scored#3
28Coral points16
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +17
20Coral scored#15
72Coral points55
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
96Total teleop79
Reef
9L4#9
5L3#4
7L2#3
5L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#23
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +58
0Foul points0
157Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.73.9
34.738.7
Auto11.7
Teleop38.5
End7.5
red by 34.7
3984
#45
23.02.5
15.718.2
Auto4.2
Teleop15.8
End3.0
Second
2393
#22
40.75.9
30.236.1
Auto8.8
Teleop28.7
End3.2
red by 20.8
5045
#42
19.92.5
13.916.4
Auto4.6
Teleop13.9
End1.4
Third
1014
#19
27.13.5
22.526.1
Auto5.9
Teleop15.1
End6.2
red by 9.5
538
#32
17.62.5
14.416.9
Auto3.5
Teleop12.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsMissed