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Qual 692025 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red90
457622.5
581619.7
170841.2
Blue100
159245.9
332434.1
725514.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8910305015020090100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+2
Endgame+10
Fouls+10
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points16
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +1
13Coral scored#13
45Coral points48
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
12Processor points12
16Net points12
28Algae points24
73Total teleop72
Reef
6L4#5
4L3#6
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +8
4Cage & park12
4Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points0
90Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1708
#39
41.20.5
39.7→40.2
Auto5.1
Teleop33.5
End2.6
blue by 4.7
1592
#12
45.90.7
43.9→44.6
Auto5.0
Teleop30.3
End10.6
Second
4576
#43
22.50.5
21.2→21.7
Auto5.5
Teleop15.2
End1.8
blue by 11.6
3324
#15
34.10.7
30.0→30.6
Auto7.1
Teleop27.4
End-0.4
Third
5816
#33
19.70.5
22.0→22.4
Auto5.0
Teleop14.8
End-0.1
red by 5.6
7255
#35
14.10.7
15.9→16.6
Auto2.7
Teleop8.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsMissed66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed65%Barge oddsMissed