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Red41
817312.4
1004213.8
856115.2
Blue58
805420.2
958315.8
805812.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333501020405060704158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+21
Endgame+23
Fouls+17
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +21
5Coral scored#9
18Coral points33
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
22Total teleop43
Reef
3L4#3
1L3#5
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
6Foul points0
41Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8561
#10
15.20.4
10.911.3
Auto3.8
Teleop9.4
End1.9
blue by 5.1
20.21.8
12.314.1
Auto2.7
Teleop15.9
End1.6
Second
13.80.4
11.211.6
Auto2.5
Teleop9.1
End2.3
blue by 1.9
9583
#21
15.81.8
13.415.2
Auto3.4
Teleop10.9
End1.5
Third
8173
#27
12.40.2
9.710.0
Auto2.6
Teleop9.0
End0.8
red by 0.4
8058
#18
12.01.8
5.37.1
Auto2.8
Teleop7.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
12%Auto oddsMissed6%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed6%Barge oddsMissed