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Red32
958315.8
1047017.7
822015.2
Blue42
856115.2
902817.2
88626.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions603302040801001203242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+12
Endgame+10
Fouls+10
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +12
4Coral scored#8
16Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#0
6Processor points6
0Net points0
6Algae points6
22Total teleop34
Reef
2L4#3
1L3#3
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#9
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points0
32Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.72.3
21.919.6
Auto3.3
Teleop12.2
End2.2
red by 0.5
9028
#30
17.21.0
11.312.3
Auto1.3
Teleop15.3
End0.6
Second
9583
#21
15.81.4
15.213.9
Auto3.4
Teleop10.9
End1.5
red by 0.6
8561
#10
15.21.0
11.312.3
Auto3.8
Teleop9.4
End1.9
Third
8220
#16
15.22.3
15.313.0
Auto2.4
Teleop11.9
End0.9
red by 8.5
8862
#23
6.81.0
10.211.2
Auto2.9
Teleop2.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsMissed13%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
8%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed