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Red38
958315.8
944710.5
Blue68
1047017.7
902931.0
915914.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions565102040801001201401603868

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+34
Endgame+34
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave6
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +24
4Coral scored#9
15Coral points31
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#3
0Processor points0
4Net points12
4Algae points12
19Total teleop43
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
5Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
4Foul points0
38Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9583
#21
15.81.0
13.612.6
Auto3.4
Teleop10.9
End1.5
blue by 15.2
31.02.4
14.717.1
Auto9.0
Teleop20.3
End1.7
Second
9447
#32
10.51.7
18.016.3
Auto4.3
Teleop4.5
End1.7
blue by 7.2
17.72.5
17.720.2
Auto3.3
Teleop12.2
End2.2
Third
9.96.1
9.916.1
Auto3.1
Teleop5.2
End1.7
blue by 4.0
9159
#15
14.02.4
13.816.2
Auto4.4
Teleop6.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsMissed30%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed