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Red54
1021616.5
923331.8
1047017.7
Blue66
958315.8
805812.0
1014216.4
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7536020601001201405466

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+10
Endgame+10
Fouls+12
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +13
6Coral scored#11
20Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
38Total teleop51
Reef
3L4#5
1L3#4
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points2
54Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.80.3
31.731.4
Auto4.3
Teleop26.9
End0.6
red by 15.4
16.40.6
14.715.3
Auto3.5
Teleop11.4
End1.5
Second
17.70.3
17.617.3
Auto3.3
Teleop12.2
End2.2
red by 1.9
9583
#21
15.80.6
14.214.7
Auto3.4
Teleop10.9
End1.5
Third
16.50.3
16.316.0
Auto4.2
Teleop9.3
End2.9
red by 4.5
8058
#18
12.00.6
10.410.9
Auto2.8
Teleop7.6
End1.6