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Red56
947914.3
643011.5
804214.7
Blue78
1021616.5
923331.8
1047017.7
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3874020601001201405678

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+18
Endgame+16
Fouls+22
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave9
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +21
6Coral scored#11
20Coral points39
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
0Processor points6
12Net points8
12Algae points14
32Total teleop53
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#14
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +22
6Foul points12
56Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8042
#12
14.70.2
14.414.7
Auto3.5
Teleop9.2
End1.9
blue by 17.1
31.80.0
31.431.4
Auto4.3
Teleop26.9
End0.6
Second
9479
#13
14.30.2
14.114.3
Auto4.7
Teleop8.7
End0.9
blue by 3.4
17.70.0
17.317.3
Auto3.3
Teleop12.2
End2.2
Third
6430
#26
11.50.3
11.211.5
Auto4.0
Teleop5.8
End1.7
blue by 5.0
16.50.0
16.016.1
Auto4.2
Teleop9.3
End2.9