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Red25
805621.8
902512.2
87596.1
Blue46
952318.7
1020515.7
1018516.0
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3957020801002546

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+17
Endgame+21
Fouls+21
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +17
4Coral scored#6
13Coral points22
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
6Processor points6
0Net points8
6Algae points14
19Total teleop36
Reef
2L4#2
1L3#2
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points0
25Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8056
#43
21.81.4
14.913.5
Auto2.1
Teleop17.4
End2.2
red by 3.0
9523
#25
18.70.3
18.518.2
Auto4.5
Teleop13.8
End0.4
Second
9025
#10
12.21.0
7.66.6
Auto2.7
Teleop9.1
End0.4
blue by 3.9
16.00.4
16.215.8
Auto4.4
Teleop10.2
End1.4
Third
8759
#50DQ
6.11.4
15.013.6
Auto1.0
Teleop5.1
End0.0
blue by 9.6
15.70.4
15.114.7
Auto2.9
Teleop10.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed