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Red43
1032111.5
958313.6
805621.8
Blue24
94649.7
1041511.6
969014.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373402060801004324

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+9Teleop
+13Endgame
+19Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +9
6Coral scored#4
21Coral points16
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
0Processor points0
4Net points0
4Algae points0
25Total teleop16
Reef
2L4#2
1L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#5
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
6Foul points0
43Total score24

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8056
#43
21.80.2
12.712.9
Auto2.1
Teleop17.4
End2.2
red by 7.2
9690
#32
14.60.9
15.514.6
Auto3.9
Teleop8.3
End2.3
Second
9583
#33
13.60.1
10.110.2
Auto3.9
Teleop7.6
End2.1
red by 2.0
11.60.9
8.17.2
Auto1.6
Teleop8.7
End1.3
Third
11.50.2
12.612.8
Auto4.2
Teleop4.8
End2.6
red by 1.8
9464
#47
9.70.9
8.47.5
Auto1.9
Teleop7.9
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsMissed9%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed10%Barge oddsMissed