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Red42
1032111.5
96948.1
879811.7
Blue22
9043-1.3
1018516.0
801128.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34450204060804222

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+2Teleop
+14Endgame
+20Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +2
1Coral scored#0
2Coral points0
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
2Total teleop0
Reef
1L4#0
0L3#0
0L2#0
0L1 · trough#0
1Game pieces#0
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
18Foul points12
42Total score22

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8798
#49
11.71.1
12.811.7
Auto2.4
Teleop7.6
End1.7
blue by 16.3
28.02.1
22.520.4
Auto3.8
Teleop18.9
End5.3
Second
11.51.1
12.811.7
Auto4.2
Teleop4.8
End2.6
blue by 4.6
16.03.5
14.310.8
Auto4.4
Teleop10.2
End1.4
Third
9694
#37
8.10.6
8.07.3
Auto3.4
Teleop1.2
End3.5
red by 9.4
9043
#45
-1.32.1
4.42.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop-2.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed20%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsEarned