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Red69
1018516.0
643142.0
1032111.5
Blue108
641730.7
1054143.9
698812.2
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63820204010012069108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+19
Endgame+33
Fouls+39
AutonomousRed +1
0Leave9
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points10
20Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +20
9Coral scored#13
33Coral points47
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
47Total teleop67
Reef
5L4#7
3L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
0Foul points6
69Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.00.5
38.438.9
Auto6.6
Teleop35.1
End0.4
blue by 1.8
43.91.9
35.537.4
Auto7.7
Teleop28.7
End7.4
Second
16.00.9
10.811.7
Auto4.4
Teleop10.2
End1.4
blue by 14.6
30.71.9
28.330.2
Auto5.4
Teleop17.1
End8.2
Third
11.50.9
11.712.6
Auto4.2
Teleop4.8
End2.6
blue by 0.7
6988
#34
12.23.1
10.013.1
Auto3.5
Teleop7.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed77%Barge oddsEarned