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Red51
946817.7
958313.6
1020515.7
Blue50
1032111.5
1023424.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394220305060705150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+5Teleop
+7Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave6
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +12
6Coral scored#4
20Coral points16
2Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
12Processor points0
4Net points8
16Algae points8
36Total teleop24
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#8
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points6
51Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9468
#23
17.71.4
12.914.3
Auto3.4
Teleop13.0
End1.3
blue by 6.7
24.40.2
23.123.3
Auto7.0
Teleop16.3
End1.1
Second
15.71.4
13.615.0
Auto2.9
Teleop10.5
End2.4
red by 4.2
11.50.4
12.613.0
Auto4.2
Teleop4.8
End2.6
Third
9583
#33
13.60.8
12.213.0
Auto3.9
Teleop7.6
End2.1
red by 5.1
8.50.2
5.15.3
Auto2.1
Teleop5.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
13%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed