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Red74
1039626.1
879811.7
876017.0
Blue40
958313.6
767211.6
952318.7
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464602060801001201407440

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+34Teleop
+36Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave3
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points6
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +27
8Coral scored#5
28Coral points17
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
12Processor points0
12Net points8
24Algae points8
52Total teleop25
Reef
4L4#3
2L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#8
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
0Foul points2
74Total score40

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.12.0
21.023.0
Auto5.1
Teleop20.0
End1.1
red by 7.4
9523
#25
18.70.4
18.818.4
Auto4.5
Teleop13.8
End0.4
Second
8760
#20
17.03.1
14.617.7
Auto5.1
Teleop10.1
End1.7
red by 3.3
9583
#33
13.60.4
13.012.6
Auto3.9
Teleop7.6
End2.1
Third
8798
#49
11.73.1
8.711.8
Auto2.4
Teleop7.6
End1.7
red by 0.1
7672
#24
11.60.6
12.311.7
Auto3.3
Teleop7.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed7%Barge oddsMissed