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Red88
683839.4
775811.2
92478.9
Blue106
641730.7
1020515.7
705015.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions586320408010012088106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+18Teleop
+6Endgame
Fouls+18
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave9
1Coral scored#0
7Coral points0
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +14
13Coral scored#12
47Coral points43
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
71Total teleop57
Reef
6L4#4
3L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points24
88Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.41.1
37.738.9
Auto10.6
Teleop27.6
End1.3
red by 8.7
30.70.9
29.430.3
Auto5.4
Teleop17.1
End8.2
Second
7758
#30
11.21.8
8.09.7
Auto2.8
Teleop5.1
End3.3
blue by 4.5
15.71.4
15.016.4
Auto2.9
Teleop10.5
End2.4
Third
9247
#11
8.91.1
7.38.5
Auto1.2
Teleop6.5
End1.3
blue by 6.3
7050
#29
15.21.3
11.913.3
Auto2.7
Teleop10.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed45%Barge oddsEarned