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Red91
641730.7
643142.0
907024.2
Blue125
815113.7
801128.0
923135.5
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1087320406010012014016018091125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+24
Endgame+34
Fouls+34
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave0
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points19
12Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +17
13Coral scored#13
47Coral points48
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
6Processor points18
16Net points20
22Algae points38
69Total teleop86
Reef
5L4#5
3L3#5
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +34
6Foul points6
91Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.00.3
42.342.0
Auto6.6
Teleop35.1
End0.4
red by 6.6
9231
#13
35.51.1
33.534.6
Auto6.2
Teleop27.3
End1.9
Second
30.70.3
31.030.7
Auto5.4
Teleop17.1
End8.2
red by 2.7
28.01.1
26.127.1
Auto3.8
Teleop18.9
End5.3
Third
9070
#16
24.20.4
24.624.2
Auto2.5
Teleop19.8
End1.9
red by 10.5
8151
#31
13.71.1
11.812.8
Auto4.9
Teleop7.5
End1.3