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Red108
641730.7
643142.0
907024.2
Blue118
952318.7
683839.4
744438.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1071056080120140160108118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+20
Endgame+10
Fouls+10
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave0
1Coral scored#6
7Coral points30
13Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +3
16Coral scored#17
57Coral points60
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
81Total teleop84
Reef
6L4#6
4L3#9
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#28
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points0
108Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.00.2
42.142.3
Auto6.6
Teleop35.1
End0.4
red by 2.6
39.40.5
39.239.7
Auto10.6
Teleop27.6
End1.3
Second
30.70.2
30.731.0
Auto5.4
Teleop17.1
End8.2
blue by 8.0
38.70.6
38.439.0
Auto9.9
Teleop26.6
End2.2
Third
9070
#16
24.20.3
24.324.6
Auto2.5
Teleop19.8
End1.9
red by 5.5
9523
#25
18.70.5
18.519.0
Auto4.5
Teleop13.8
End0.4