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Red88
729610.9
1053211.0
643132.1
Blue15
1059819.8
96105.1
1024416.3
67%Model gave it33%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423201020506070808815

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+49Teleop
+43Endgame
+73Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
0Leave3
3Coral scored#0
16Coral points0
16Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +36
6Coral scored#0
22Coral points0
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
36Total teleop0
Reef
3L4#0
3L3#0
2L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
12Game pieces#0
BargeBlue +6
6Cage & park12
6Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +73
30Foul points0
88Total score15

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.12.4
12.615.0
Auto4.0
Teleop27.3
End0.8
red by 12.2
19.81.5
10.69.1
Auto4.9
Teleop10.2
End4.8
Second
11.02.4
12.214.6
Auto5.2
Teleop4.9
End0.9
blue by 5.3
10244
#16DQ
16.31.5
10.69.1
Auto3.6
Teleop9.8
End3.0
Third
7296
#34
10.92.4
11.914.3
Auto3.3
Teleop7.7
End-0.1
red by 5.8
9610
#47
5.11.5
7.45.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop4.3
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsEarned24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed