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Red36
90434.8
801120.8
809211.6
Blue88
948371.1
855723.6
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions379702060801201401603688

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+58
Endgame+48
Fouls+52
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave3
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points20
6Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +41
3Coral scored#11
12Coral points39
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
0Processor points6
4Net points12
4Algae points18
16Total teleop57
Reef
1L4#6
1L3#4
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#3
4Game pieces#19
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +52
0Foul points4
36Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8011
#14
20.80.3
19.318.9
Auto3.8
Teleop12.4
End4.6
blue by 50.2
71.10.5
49.950.4
Auto17.7
Teleop47.2
End6.1
Second
8092
#36
11.60.3
12.312.0
Auto3.0
Teleop6.3
End2.3
blue by 12.0
8557
#21
23.60.5
19.319.8
Auto4.5
Teleop16.8
End2.2
Third
9043
#37
4.80.3
7.37.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop3.1
End1.8
blue by 3.8
8.60.5
9.910.5
Auto4.0
Teleop2.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsMissed45%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsMissed