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Red51
1060425.7
Blue71
82619.5
956510.2
643132.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions463101020406070805171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+14
Endgame+14
Fouls+20
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave0
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
9Total auto3
TeleoperatedBlue +20
6Coral scored#9
20Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
30Total teleop50
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
6Foul points12
51Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.70.5
25.225.7
Auto5.7
Teleop17.7
End2.3
blue by 6.4
32.13.3
18.621.8
Auto4.0
Teleop27.3
End0.8
Second
9.80.5
11.912.3
Auto1.3
Teleop8.1
End0.5
blue by 0.4
9565
#40
10.23.3
6.910.1
Auto0.1
Teleop9.1
End1.0
Third
3.40.5
3.84.2
Auto1.3
Teleop0.1
End2.0
blue by 6.1
8261
#35
9.53.3
4.27.5
Auto2.5
Teleop5.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed