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Red72
96017.4
960964.2
Blue75
926414.7
602523.0
64159.8
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions865202040601001201407275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
Teleop+5
+3Endgame
Fouls+3
AutonomousRed +2
6Leave0
2Coral scored#3
12Coral points16
18Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +7
7Coral scored#10
24Coral points35
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
38Total teleop45
Reef
3L4#6
3L3#2
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#15
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
2Foul points8
72Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.20.4
58.358.0
Auto14.4
Teleop41.3
End8.5
red by 41.1
23.01.3
22.623.8
Auto6.7
Teleop14.6
End1.7
Second
10521
#43DQ
7.80.5
11.811.3
Auto3.6
Teleop4.1
End0.1
blue by 6.9
9264
#22
14.71.9
15.016.9
Auto5.3
Teleop7.2
End2.2
Third
9601
#34
7.40.4
4.34.0
Auto2.7
Teleop4.2
End0.5
blue by 2.4
6415
#40
9.81.9
12.514.3
Auto1.2
Teleop7.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned16%Barge oddsMissed