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Red44
1024310.2
603817.4
926414.7
Blue89
708618.0
815956.8
94514.1
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions399202060801001201401604489

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+43
Endgame+43
Fouls+45
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave3
2Coral scored#4
12Coral points20
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +32
7Coral scored#11
24Coral points38
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
0Processor points6
4Net points16
4Algae points22
28Total teleop60
Reef
3L4#6
3L3#4
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
10Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +45
0Foul points2
44Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6038
#20
17.40.8
16.315.6
Auto6.5
Teleop6.6
End4.3
blue by 39.4
56.80.0
53.053.1
Auto18.7
Teleop37.7
End0.4
Second
9264
#22
14.70.8
14.413.7
Auto5.3
Teleop7.2
End2.2
blue by 3.4
18.00.0
17.717.8
Auto6.2
Teleop11.6
End0.2
Third
10.20.8
8.88.0
Auto3.2
Teleop5.4
End1.6
red by 6.1
9451
#28
4.10.0
6.96.9
Auto2.7
Teleop0.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed