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Red108
645952.3
1042513.0
1018019.7
Blue52
746515.1
774215.5
1024310.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1023405015010852

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+54Teleop
+50Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave9
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points3
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +43
15Coral scored#7
53Coral points24
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
77Total teleop34
Reef
6L4#2
8L3#3
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +56
6Foul points0
108Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.30.5
52.052.5
Auto11.1
Teleop39.1
End2.1
red by 36.8
7742
#26
15.50.4
14.915.3
Auto4.3
Teleop10.4
End0.8
Second
19.70.8
17.918.7
Auto3.9
Teleop9.5
End6.3
red by 4.6
7465
#24
15.10.7
13.414.2
Auto3.8
Teleop8.9
End2.5
Third
13.00.8
12.713.5
Auto3.8
Teleop8.2
End1.0
red by 2.8
10.20.7
8.08.8
Auto3.2
Teleop5.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsMissed10%Barge oddsMissed